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The effects of monetary policy on unemployment dynamics under model uncertainty : evidence from the US and the euro area ( by Carlo Altavilla and Matteo Ciccarelli
Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2009
surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian … policy ; model uncertainty ; Bayesian model averaging ; unemployment gap ; Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963762
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Macroeconomic effects of tariffs shocks : the role of the effective lower bound and the labour market
Jacquinot, Pascal; Lozej, Matija; Pisani, Massimiliano - 2020
We simulate a version of the EAGLE, a New Keynesian multi-country model of the world economy, to assess the macroeconomic effects of US tariffs imposed on one country member of the euro area (EA), and the rest of the world (RW). The model is augmented with an endogenous effective lower bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241231
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What's up with the Phillips curve?
Del Negro, Marco; Lenza, Michele; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2020
The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the Great Recession. In ation, in contrast, has gone quiescent. This paper studies the sources of this disconnect using VARs and an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241237
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Labour tax reforms, cross-country coordination and the monetary policy stance in the euro area : a structural model-based approach
Jacquinot, Pascal; Lozej, Matija; Pisani, Massimiliano - 2018
We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
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Optimal monetary policy rules with labor market frictions
Faia, Ester (contributor) - 2006
deviate from the strict inflation targeting since the policy maker faces a typical unemployment/inflation trade-off. In this … (hence the output gap) since the latter also depends on the evolution of unemployment. The matching frictions add a … matches. Hence optimal monetary policy features unemployment targeting along with inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003396811
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Robust monetary policy with imperfect knowledge
Orphanides, Athanasios (contributor);  … - 2007
minimize fluctuations of unemployment around its natural rate but are uncertain about the economy's natural rates of interest … and unemployment and how private agents form expectations. In particular, we consider two models of expectations formation …, and a smaller response to the perceived unemployment gap than would be optimal if everyone had perfect knowledge of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003484111
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An area-wide real-time database for the euro area
Giannone, Domenico; Henry, Jérôme; Lalik, Magdalena - 2010
This paper describes how we constructed a real-time database for the euro area covering more than 200 series regularly published in the European Central Bank Monthly Bulletin, as made available ahead of publication to the Governing Council members before their first meeting of the month. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969570
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The conquest of U.S. inflation : learning and robustness to model uncertainty
Cogley, Timothy (contributor);  … - 2005
Previous studies have interpreted the rise and fall of U.S. inflation after World War II in terms of the Fed's changing views about the natural rate hypothesis but have left an important question unanswered. Why was the Fed so slow to implement the low-in ation policy recommended by a natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003001800
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Identifying the role of labor markets for monetary policy in an estimated DSGE model
Christoffel, Kai (contributor); Kuester, Keith (contributor) - 2006
We focus on a quantitative assessment of rigid labor markets in an environment of stable monetary policy. We ask how wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we structurally model matching frictions and rigid wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337206
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The role of labor markets for euro area monetary policy
Christoffel, Kai; Küster, Keith; Linzert, Tobias - 2009
important for monetary policy. -- Labor Market ; wage rigidity ; bargaining ; Bayesian estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832582