How does global risk impact the world economy? In taking up this question, we focus on the dollar’s role in the … global risk shocks in a Bayesian Proxy VAR model. They cause a synchronized contraction of global economic activity and … illustrate through counterfactuals that the dollar appreciation amplifies the adverse impact of global risk shocks outside of the …

, or "uncertainty shocks", are an important model ingredient. First, they account for countercyclical movements in risk … changes in both risk-premia and expected future real rates, uncertainty shocks account for about 1/2 of the variance of long …

This paper studies the long-run evolution of bank risk and its links to the macroeconomy. Using data for 17 advanced …