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Extracting market expectations from yield curves augmented by money market interest rates : the case of Japan
Nagano, Teppei; Baba, Naohiko - 2008
March 2006. We use (i) the swap yield curves augmented by OIS interest rates (OIS/Swap), and (ii) the JGB yield curve … for each factor between OIS/Swap and FBTB/JGB, and find that the former has a more dominant role of price discovery for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826016
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A new indicator of inflation expectations anchoring
Natoli, Filippo; Sigalotti, Laura - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We compare the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area, the United States and the United Kingdom, focusing on the post-crisis period. First of all, we estimate a set of measures of average and tail correlation using inflation swaps and options, following Natoli and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636301
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Tail co-movement in inflation expectations as an indicator of anchoring
Natoli, Filippo; Sigalotti, Laura - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a focus on the time span from 2014 onwards when long-term beliefs have substantially drifted away from the policy target. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636306
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Inflation anchoring in the euro area
Speck, Christian - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a focus on the time span from 2014 onwards when long-term beliefs have substantially drifted away from the policy target. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636312
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The inflation risk premium in the post-Lehman period
Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo; Werner, Thomas - 2017
In this paper we construct model-free and model-based indicators for the inflation risk premium in the US and the euro area. We study the impact of market liquidity, surprises from inflation data releases, inflation volatility and deflation fears on the inflation risk premium. For our analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637325
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The anatomy of the euro area interest rate swap market
Fontana, Silvia Dalla; Holz auf der Heide, Marco; … - 2019
comprehensive analysis of the structure of the euro area interest rate swap (IRS) market after the start of the mandatory clearing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975602
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Measuring market-based core inflation expectations
Grønlund, Asger Munch; Jørgensen, Kasper; Schupp, Fabian - 2024
We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap … contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap … projections are typically only available monthly or quarterly. We find that core inflation-linked swap rates are generally less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490417
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Credit risk transfers and the macroeconomy
Faia, Ester - 2010
The recent financial crisis has highlighted the limits of the "originate to distribute" model of banking, but its nexus with the macroeconomy and monetary policy remains unexplored. I build a DSGE model with banks (along the lines of Holmström and Tirole [28] and Parlour and Plantin [39]) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688526
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Liquidity hoarding and interbank market spreads : the role of counterparty risk
Heider, Florian; Hoerova, Marie; Holthausen, Cornelia - 2009
We study the functioning and possible breakdown of the interbank market in the presence of counterparty risk. We allow banks to have private information about the risk of their assets. We show how banks’ asset risk affects funding liquidity in the interbank market. Several interbank market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969274
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The term structure of risk premia : new evidence from the financial crisis
Berg, Tobias - 2010
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971282