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We investigate the factors driving current account and monetary policy developments in the euro area. We estimate an open-economy structural vector autoregression (VAR) model with zero and sign restrictions derived from a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329445
. We find that a contractionary oil price shock has a negative effect on the current account which lasts for approximately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803318
We investigate, in the case of Germany, the positive correlation between the cyclical components of the corporate saving glut in the non-financial corporate sector and the current account surplus from a capital account perspective. Employing sign restrictions, our findings suggest that mostly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607560
derived from Eurosystem large-scale macroeconomic models. The main finding is that only a fiscal shock, and to a lesser extent … a TFP shock, generate marked inflation persistence. In contrast, an indirect tax and an oil price shock appear much less … persistent and a social security shock generates less inflation persistence in the majority of the countries (although some weak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003089866
through error spillover effects. Bootstrapped error bands are also provided for the cross country responses of a shock to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380058
The time series of various economic variables often exhibit asymmetry: decreases in the values tend to be sharp and fast, whereas increases usually occur slowly and gradually. We detect signs of an analogous asymmetry in firms’ wage setting behaviour on the basis of managerial surveys, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009160036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380062
Currently the U.S. is experiencing record budget and current account deficits, a phenomenon familiar from the "Twin Deficits" discussion of the 1980s. In contrast, during the 1990s productivity growth has been identified as the primary cause of the US current account deficit. We suggest a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003057138
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002124872