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Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
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and at the beginning of a quarter, on various conditional frequencies of adjustment, inflation and its variability …
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By placing store-level price data into bivariate Structural VAR models of inflation and relative price asymmetry, this … forecast error variance in inflation at the 12-month horizon. While the contemporaneous correlation between inflation and … relative price asymmetry is positive, idiosyncratic shocks lead to a substantial build-up in inflation only after two to five …
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, based on a panel of four biggest Central European countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) confirm …
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, Hungary, Poland, Russia and Turkey from May 1998 to December 2007. To account for the importance of market expectations we use …
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