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dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901483
We study state dependence in the impact of monetary policy shocks over the leverage cycle for a panel of 10 euro area countries. We use a Bayesian Threshold Panel SVAR with regime classifications based on credit and house prices cycles. We find that monetary policy shocks trigger a smaller...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241107
This study analyses the effects of euro area monetary policy on equity risk premia (ERP). We find that changes in equity prices during periods of accommodative monetary policy mainly reflected adjustments in the discount factor and economic activity - rather than fluctuations in investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499624
economy, namely a demand shock and a shock to bank capital. The main findings of the paper are as follows: i) Impulse …-response analysis shows that in response to a shock to bank capital, banks boost capital ratios by reducing their relative exposure to …) Historical shock decomposition analysis shows that bank capital shocks have contributed to increasing capital ratios since the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662933
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing durable from nondurable expenditures. We adopt a theoretical partial equilibrium framework to justify the identification strategy of our empirical model, a time-varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836
risk. An adverse supply shock leads to a deterioration of firms' riskiness 10 per cent above the average PD. Contractionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484468
This paper studies the international spillovers of US monetary policy shocks on a number of macroeconomic and financial variables in 36 advanced and emerging economies. In most countries, a surprise US monetary tightening leads to depreciation against the dollar; industrial production and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011645922
An important stylized fact to emerge from the VAR estimates is that exogenous monetary policy shocks (also labelled unsystematic monetary policy) have a delayed, persistent, hump shaped effect on in.ation. I argue that this empirical pattern is fragile. In particular it disappears when one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230317
The news about the economy contained in a central bank announcement can affect public expectations. This paper shows, using both event studies and vector autoregressions, that such central bank information effects are an important channel of the transatlantic spillover of monetary policy. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012298995
We establish basic facts about the external finance premium. Tens of millions of individual loan contracts extended to euro area firms allow studying the determinants of the external finance premium at the country, bank, firm, and contract levels of disaggregation. At the country level, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527119