Gadea, María Dolores; Laeven, Luc; Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel - 2020
We study the effects of credit over the business cycle, distinguishing between expansions and contractions. We find … that there is a growth and risk trade-off in the pace of credit growth over the business cycle. While rapid credit growth … tends to be followed by deeper recessions, we also find that credit growth has a positive impact on the duration of …