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This survey reviews the literature about the impact of climate change on the natural rate of interest (r*), an important yardstick for monetary policy. Economic and financial developments can lower r* in scenarios with increasing climate-related damages and uncertainty that reduce productivity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448676
of cointegration. We applied new break tests and tested for nonlinearity in the cointegrating relation with post-war data … for 15 countries. Our empirical results support cointegration, after accounting for breaks, and a linear Fisher relation … in the long run. This is in contrast to several recent studies that found no support for linear cointegration. -- Fisher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831793
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission along the euro area money market yield curve. A new multivariate unobserved components model is proposed allowing for both long-memory and stationary cyclical dynamics. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001820903
a cointegration vector that links bank-specific lending rates, deposit rates, the 3-month Euribor, and the ECB Deposit …-specific lending rates, potentially affecting cointegration with the 3-month Euribor. Our findings show a significant spread reduction … after the introduction of negative reference rates, primarily driven by changes in the cointegration relationship between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015339711
Revenue elasticities play a key role in forecasting, monitoring and analysing public finances under the European fiscal framework, which largely builds on cyclically adjusted indicators. This paper investigates whether there is evidence for dynamic - instead of the currently used static -...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635246
target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the inflation … percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show that the … increasingly short of potential with lower inflation targets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001670905
policy is not constrained by the ZLB. The neutral rate - the level of the policy rate consistent with stable inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553542
The acceleration of house price growth amidst falling interest rates to record-low levels across euro area countries between 2015 and 2021 has sparked renewed interest in the link between the two variables. Asset-pricing theory suggests that real house prices respond to changes in real interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553574