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imperfect credibility and weak anchoring of long-term expectations. Within a medium-scale DSGE model, we introduce through a … determination of the central bank to leave unchanged its longterm inflation objective in the face of inflationary shocks. The … magnitude of private sector learning has been calibrated to match the volatility of US inflation expectations at long horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867037
Transparency has become an almost universal virtue among central banks. The paper tests empirically, for the case of the Federal Reserve, two hypotheses about central bank transparency derived from the debate of Morris and Shin (2002) and Svensson (2006). First, the paper finds that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599312
A crucial but often ignored element of inflation expectations is the amount of perceived inflation risk. This paper …) using a new methodology. The main conclusion from our analysis is that, when monitoring inflation expectations, limitin … attetention to a point prediction is not sufficient. The analysis of inflation expectations should take into account inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599410
persistent credibility gains, even after inflation increased. …We show that the announcement of the ECB's Strategy Review and the revision of its inflation target in summer 2021 went … elements of the strategy can enhance the perceived credibility that price stability will be maintained in the medium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013553462
Price level targeting has been proposed as an alternative to inflation targeting that may confer benefits if a central … bank sets policy under discretion, even if societyu0092s loss function is specified in terms of inflation (instead of price …-of-thumb to form inflation expectations, or does not fully understand the nature of the target, price level targeting may in fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635890
, and thus an important factor for its credibility and policy effectiveness. This paper analyses the coverage which ECB … inflation environment, and that the media's coverage of decisions is generally highly responsive to ECB communication in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003375096
, information transmission through changes in the interest rate creates a distortion, thus, lending an amount of credibility. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963765
This paper first shows that the forecast error incurred when assuming that future inflation will be equal to the … inflation target announced by the central bank is typically at least as small and often smaller than forecast errors of model …-based and published inflation forecasts. It then shows that there are substantial benefits in having rule-of-thumb agents who …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003230432
credibility a pegged exchange rate regime yields a lower loss compared to an inflation targeting policy, even if this policy … for a policy-maker to adopt inflation targeting over a strict exchange rate targeting regime. Full credibility is not a …This paper shows that the credibility gain from permanently committing to a fixed exchange rate by joining the European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003057319
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001554413