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An aggregation exercise is proposed that aims at investigating whether the fast average adjustment of the disaggregate inflation series of the euro area CPI translates into the slow adjustment of euro area aggregate inflation. We first estimate a dynamic factor model for 404 inflation...
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collaboration by the ECB and the Banque de France. The theoretical structure of the model is in line with most current …
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We propose a dynamic clustering model for uncovering latent time-varying group structures in multivariate panel data. The model is dynamic in three ways. First, the cluster location and scale matrices are time-varying to track gradual changes in cluster characteristics over time. Second, all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594269
We introduce a new dynamic clustering method for multivariate panel data char- acterized by time-variation in cluster locations and shapes, cluster compositions, and, possibly, the number of clusters. To avoid overly frequent cluster switching (flickering), we extend standard cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013552743
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a … France, the strongest ex0Bect on output is produced by shocks on government expenditure on wages and transfers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and …
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