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We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent … downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation … inflation found in the data for the euro area. In this model, continuing to follow the same rule makes inflation to be on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181303
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
policy rules and of the optimal unconstrained rule under commitment. The study reaches two main conclusions. First, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003310803
of a forecast breakdown in the Phillips’ curve forecasts of U.S. inflation, and links it to inflation volatility and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337249
We examine the global dimension of inflation i n 24 OECD countries between 1980 and 2007 in a traditional Phillips … global forces to affect inflation through (the common part of) domestic demand and supply conditions. Our most important … result is that the common component of changes in unit labor costs has a notable impact of inflation. We also find evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831786
Following Fuhrer and Moore (1995), several authors have proposed alternative mechanisms to 'hardwire' inflation … European Monetary Union, of inflation-targeting countries, and of the new Swiss monetary policy regime, I show that, in the …), the parameters encoding the 'intrinsic' component of inflation persistence are not invariant across monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832590
We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the … hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights … differences in inflation formation and shows that the NKPC provides a reasonable description of the inflation process only for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599443
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003507177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288697