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risk. An adverse supply shock leads to a deterioration of firms' riskiness 10 per cent above the average PD. Contractionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484468
The paper provides a systematic empirical analysis of the role of the housing market in the macroeconomy in the US and in the euro area. First, it establishes some stylised facts concerning key variables in the housing market, such as the real house price, residential investment and mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971203
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901483
This paper investigates whether output and inflation respond asymmetrically to credit shocks in the euro area. The methodology, based on a non-linear VAR system, follows work by Balke (2000) for the US. The results reveal evidence of threshold effects related to credit conditions in the economy....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003014229
economy, namely a demand shock and a shock to bank capital. The main findings of the paper are as follows: i) Impulse …-response analysis shows that in response to a shock to bank capital, banks boost capital ratios by reducing their relative exposure to …) Historical shock decomposition analysis shows that bank capital shocks have contributed to increasing capital ratios since the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662933
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries in ation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a exible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181317
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing durable from nondurable expenditures. We adopt a theoretical partial equilibrium framework to justify the identification strategy of our empirical model, a time-varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836
Autoregressions which explicitly considers the seasonal dependence of the shock. Results suggest the presence of significant country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278607
This paper quantifies the economic influence that shocks to EMU cohesion, which in turn reflect the incomplete nature of the monetary union, have on the rest of the world. Disentangling euro area stress shocks and global risk aversion shocks based on a combination of sign, magnitude and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263010
) announced by the European Central Bank (ECB) in January 2015. The shock associated to the APP is identified with a combination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659350