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nai͏̈ve random walk model, the URP for the EUR/USD performs better in terms of forecasts for a set of alternative statistics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003117226
This paper examines the cross-dynamics of volatility term structures implied by foreign exchange options. The data used in the empirical analysis consist of daily observations of implied volatilities for OTC options on the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Swiss franc, and Canadian dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003117231
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004555304
We confront the notion that flexible rates insulate a country from external disturbances with new evidence on spillovers from euro-area shocks to neighboring countries. We find that in response to euro-area shocks, spillovers are not smaller, and currency movements not significantly larger, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705556
We analyse the elasticity of the household consumption expenditure (HCE) deflator to the exchange rate, using world input-output tables (WIOT) from 1995 to 2019. In line with the existing literature, we find a modest output-weighted elasticity of around 0.1. This elasticity is stable over time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648943
Different export-pricing currency paradigms have different implications for a host of issues that are critical for policymakers such as business cycle co-movement, optimal monetary policy, optimum currency areas and international monetary policy co-ordination. Unfortunately, the literature has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288630
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288699
How should monetary policy respond to excessive capital inflows that appreciate the currency and widen the external deficit? Using the workhorse two-country open-macro model, we derive a quadratic approximation of the utility-based global loss function in incomplete market economies, and solve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362654