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We present non-linear models to capture the turning points in global economic activity as well as in advanced and emerging economies from 1980 to 2017. We first estimate Markov Switching models within a univariate framework. These models support the relevance of three business cycle regimes...
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loan portfolios, allow for interbank trading and show how a credit bubble can develop from a financial innovation. We then …
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cutting back on lending but also by reallocating credit to firms in financial distress with prior underreported loan loss … credit reallocation leads to a reallocation of production factors across firms. A partial equilibrium exercise suggests that …
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bank-firm level credit data, we show that banks reallocate credit within their loan portfolio in at least three different … which they are more specialized. Third, they reallocate credit towards low-risk firms. These reallocation effects are … transmission of the funding shock to credit supply by 22, 8 and 10%, respectively. …
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initially raises housing credit demand and crowds out credit to non-housing firms. If the bubble lasts, however, housing credit … repayments raise banks' net worth and expand credit supply, so that crowding-out eventually gives way to crowding-in. This is … consistent with evidence from the recent Spanish housing bubble. Initially, credit growth of non-housing firms was lower at banks …
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between productivity and bank credit in the context of different financial market set-ups, we introduce a model of overlapping … generations of entrepreneurs under complete and incomplete credit markets. Then, we exploit firm-level data for France, Germany … and Italy to explore the relation between bank credit and productivity following the main derivations of the model. We …
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