In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …

The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather … muted. At the same time, it has been argued that the short-term unemployment gap has a more prominent role in determining … inflation, and either the closing of this gap or non-linearities in the Phillips curve could lead to a sudden pick-up in …

This paper develops a model with multiple steady states (low tax and unemployment rate versus high tax and unemployment … European unemployment rates observed during the seventies. The explanation given is that even if the unemployment rate would … job creation remains low making the return to a low unemployment rate impossible. The paper shows that in some cases …

affect medium-term inflation, the primary objective of monetary policy. Using panel local projections for 48 advanced and … inflation in the near term, especially in EMEs. But over the medium term, the impact across the various price indices tends to …

patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …

Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …

synchronized within rather than across stores. Time variations in inflation can be attributed mainly to variations in the frequency …

changes in inflation on fiscal policy. We find evidence of non-linear short-term effects of HICP inflation on the primary … an inflation turning point - beyond which its short-term (contemporaneous) impact on the primary balance starts being … the whole sample of euro area countries in 2022 (EA-19). Using an alternative measure of "inflation surprise" (available …

This paper studies the nature, evolution, and sources of inflation heterogeneity across households in France and … Germany. Inflation differences are large and persistent. The two main sources of inflation heterogeneity are spatial …. Income heterogeneity by itself is not a relevant determinant of inflation heterogeneity, but due to its correlation with …

This paper studies the effect of monetary policy on inflation along the income distribution in several euro area …. On the one hand, different consumption shares imply that inflation by high-income households responds less to monetary … its reaction to monetary policy, which imply that inflation by high-income households responds more to monetary policy. …