Showing 1 - 10 of 113
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
In this paper we investigate the impact of the euro integration process on the drivers of FDI inflows. We show … bilateral gravity models of FDI inflows into euro area countries, we show that the euro facilitates intra-euro area vertical FDI … countries located outside the monetary union increase. Such flows are however not more likely be directed towards euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011999066
the determination of inflation and output in the euro area and the existence of a non-vertical long-run Phillips curve … complements an investigation of the consequences of the zerointerest- rate bound for monetary policy-making in the euro area, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635901
Using euro-area data, we re-examine the empirical success of New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPCs). The nature of our … of the euro-area NKPCs are robust, provide reasonable estimates for fixed-price durations and discount rates and embody …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635912
are either equal to zero, or very low, in all countries. Analogous results hold for the Euro areaand for France, Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636070
We estimate the sticky information Phillips curve model of Mankiw and Reis (2002) using survey expectations of professional forecasters from four major European economies. Our estimates imply that inflation expectations in France, Germany and the United Kingdom are updated about once a year, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003789432
New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPC) have been extensively used in the analysis of monetary policy, but yet there are a number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first is whether such equations are identified. To check...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778781
This paper estimates a hybrid New Keynesian model on euro area data and evaluates the performance of different simple … is found to be mainly forward-looking in the euro area, which implies the optimal policy reaction to cost push shocks is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003310803
We propose a theoretical framework for assessing whether a forecast model estimated over one period can provide good forecasts over a subsequent period. We formalize this idea by defining a forecast breakdown as a situation in which the out-of-sample performance of the model, judged by some loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337249
This paper compares the Calvo model with a Taylor contracting model in the context of the Smets-Wouters (2003) Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model. In the Taylor price setting model, we introduce firm-specific production factors and discuss how this assumption can help to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337470