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Trend inflation estimates for 12 of the largest Asian economies over 1995-2018 offer important insights on inflation … dynamics and inflation expectations. The disinflationary shocks that hit the region since 2014 were partly transitory, but … their effects have been different depending on the behaviour of trend inflation in each country. Countries with relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132591
This paper documents, for the first time in a systematic manner, the link between labor cost and price inflation in the … and price inflation in the four major economies of the euro area and across the three main sectors. The dynamic …. Our results show that it is more likely that labor costs are passed on to price inflation with demand shocks than with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975511
important determinants of inflation over the sample. We then forecast core inflation 12 quarters ahead and present its … manner, the convergence towards a sustainable path of inflation. …
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, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636259
We compare the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area, the United States and the United Kingdom …, focusing on the post-crisis period. First of all, we estimate a set of measures of average and tail correlation using inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636301
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636306