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Modelling yields at the lower bound through regime shifts
Hördahl, Peter; Tristani, Oreste - 2019
We propose a regime-switching approach to deal with the lower bound on nominal interest rates in dynamic term structure modelling. In the "lower bound regime", the short term rate is expected to remain constant at levels close to the effective lower bound; in the "normal regime", the short rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107934
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The impact of constrained monetary policy on the fiscal multipliers on output and inflation
Bletzinger, Tilman; Lalik, Magdalena - 2017
on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We … that this over-proportionality is stronger for the fiscal multiplier on inflation than on output. We relate this finding to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637428
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Euro area inflation differentials : the role of fiscal policies revisited
Checherita-Westphal, Cristina; Leiner-Killinger, Nadine; … - 2023
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547978
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Monetary-fiscal policy interactions when price stability occasionally takes a back seat
Schmidt, Sebastian - 2024
. The risk of future regime shifts has encompassing effects on equilibrium. Inflation is systematically higher than it would … stability. This inflation bias is increasing in the real value of government debt. Regime-switching probabilities are not … interest rate sufficiently moderately when inflation increases. Lower fiscal dominance risk, in turn, mitigates the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484339
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Reducing large net foreign liabilities
Fidora, Michael; Schmitz, Martin; Tcheng, Céline - 2017
In light of persistently large net foreign liability (NFL) positions in several euro area countries, we analyse 138 episodes of sizeable NFL reductions for a broad sample of advanced and emerging economies. We provide stylised facts on the channels through which NFLs were reduced and estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659341
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Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model
Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo; … - 2010
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640286
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Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model
Gomes, Sandra; Jacquinot, Pascal; Mestre, Ricardo - 2010
The purpose of this paper is to analyse whether fiscal policies can alleviate the effects of the zero lower bound (ZLB) on interest rates and if they should be coordinated internationally. The analysis is carried out using EAGLE, a DSGE model of the global economy. We consider that the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688538
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The Great Depression and the Friedman-Schwartz hypothesis
Christiano, Lawrence; Motto, Roberto; Rostagno, Massimo - 2004
We evaluate the Friedman-Schwartz hypothesis that a more accommodative monetary policy could have greatly reduced the severity of the Great Depression. To do this, we first estimate a dynamic, general equilibrium model using data from the 1920s and 1930s. Although the model includes eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636549
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The impact of monetary policy shocks on commodity prices
Anzuini, Alessio; Lombardi, Marco J.; Pagano, Patrizio - 2010
Global monetary conditions have often been cited as a driving factor of commodity prices. This paper investigates the empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the effects of monetary policy shocks. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640308
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The impact of monetary policy shocks on commodity prices
Anzuini, Alessio; Lombardi, Marco; Pagano, Patrizio - 2010
Global monetary conditions have often been cited as a driving factor of commodity prices. This paper investigates the empirical relationship between US monetary policy and commodity prices by means of a standard VAR system, commonly used in analysing the effects of monetary policy shocks. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994006