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Consumers' inflation expectations play a key role in the monetary transmission mechanism. As such, it is crucial for … expectations. These include the apparent overestimation of inflation by consumers as well as the negative correlation observed … between the economic outlook and inflation expectations. We also show that the uncertainty framework fits with some of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818765
Prospective economic developments depend on the behavior of consumer spending. A key question is whether private expenditures recover once social distancing restrictions are lifted or whether the COVID-19 crisis has a sustained impact on consumer confidence, preferences, and, hence, spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643267
expectations assumption, we show the transition may initially be inflationary. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373585
We provide a new theory of expectations-driven business cycles in which consumers' learning from prices dramatically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011648329
may or may not coordinate on the rational equilibrium outcome. A general finding is that under positive expectations … feedback (strategic complementarity) - where optimistic (pessimistic) expectations can cause a boom (bust) - coordination … by coordination on trend-following behavior leading to (almost-)self-fulfilling equilibria. Heterogeneous expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929804
assessing macroeconomic vulnerability. Emphasis lies on the potential of changing levels of disagreement in expectations to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009405595
using existing macroeconomic models by modifying expectations about policy announcements. The main advantage of our method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241145
long, averaging window can attain most of the welfare gain from PLT. Under boundedly-rational expectations, if cognitive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206238
Is there a systematic mapping between the Federal Reserve's expectations of macro variables and the words it uses to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013485936
Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be … method, implemented in order to estimate numerical measures of Polish consumer inflation expectations, based on the monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882