Showing 91 - 100 of 477
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636306
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636312
This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636332
In this paper we analyse the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) in the euro area as a whole and for four euro area members - Germany, France, Italy and Spain. For that purpose we use Bayesian VARs with identification based on a combination of zero and sign restrictions. Our results emphasize that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636797
We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636803
inflation. We find that based on a cointegrated VAR model there is a positive long-run relationship between inflation and the … found does not sufficiently take into account changes in policy settings following the high inflation experiences in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636889
This paper studies the role of global factors in causing common movements in consumer price inflation, with particular … collected from national and international sources. Global factors explain a large share of the variance of national inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637390
on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We … that this over-proportionality is stronger for the fiscal multiplier on inflation than on output. We relate this finding to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637428
This paper decomposes the time-varying effect of exogenous exchange rate shocks on euro area countries in ation into country-specific (idiosyncratic) and region-wide (common) components. To do so, we propose a exible empirical framework based on dynamic factor models subject to drifting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181317
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851