Showing 1 - 10 of 585
This paper studies how mortgage borrowers and house prices react to a tightening of mortgage limits following a policy change in Ireland in 2015. The policy introduced limits to the loan-to-income and loan-to-value ratios of new mortgages issued. In response to a tightening borrowing constraint,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490418
. Fifth, we find evidences that housing prices shock decreases consumption inequality while financial wealth shocks have a …This paper studies the heterogeneity of the marginal propensity to consume out of wealth (MPC) both across and within … countries. We estimate the MPC based on a cross-country harmonized household level dataset which combines surveys on wealth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139739
, we find a comparatively stronger housing wealth effect on consumption in Ireland and Spain. We provide new evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659335
How sizable is the wealth effect on consumption in euro area countries? To address this question, we use newly … available harmonized euro area wealth data and the methodology in Carroll et al. (2011b). We find that the marginal propensity … to consume out of total wealth averaged across the largest euro area economies is around 3 cents per euro, with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011864125
This paper presents empirical evidence of the role of financial conditions in China's business cycle. We estimate a Bayesian-VAR for the Chinese economy, incorporating a financial conditions index for China that captures movements across a range of financial variables, including interest rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975616
We assess how a major, unconventional central bank intervention, Draghi's "whatever it takes" speech, affected lending conditions. Similar to other large interventions, it responded to adverse financial and macroeconomic developments that also influenced the supply and demand for credit. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987129
I propose a new model, conditional quantile regression (CQR), that generates density forecasts consistent with a specific view of the future evolution of some variables. This addresses a shortcoming of existing quantile regression-based models, for example the at-risk framework popularised by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705519
This study extends a thick modelling tool for aggregated euro area real private consumption of de Bondt et al. (2019 … decomposing disposable income into labour, property and transfer income is essential for understanding and forecasting consumption …. Finally, substantial crosscountry heterogeneity in marginal propensities to consume out of income and wealth components calls …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135921
Globalisation has a major impact on the levels and distribution of wealth. The financial markets are highly integrated … wealth over the past 25 years. Nonetheless, this has not led to an equally large increase in property income because the … decrease in rates of return seems to contradict claims that, due to an increase in both financial and inherited wealth, we are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013337381
in consumption in five key sectors: tourism, hospitality, services, retail, and public transports. We identify a large …-term sectoral consumption shifts may occur. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643267