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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001820873
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002124936
volatility at the turn of the millennium when Japanese foreign exchange intervention started to remain unsterilized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337476
Using the Consensus Economics dataset with individual expert forecasts from G7 countries we investigate determinants of disagreement (crosssectional dispersion of forecasts) about six key economic indicators. Disagreement about real variables (GDP, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963738
This paper analyses the role of asset prices in comparison to other factors, in particular exchange rates, as a driver of the US trade balance. It employs a Bayesian structural VAR model that requires imposing only a minimum of economically meaningful sign restrictions. We find that equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003516646
This paper proposes a large-scale Bayesian vector autoregression with factor stochastic volatility to investigate the … assuming that it is the joint volatility process that determines the dynamics of the variance-covariance matrix of the common … equity price volatility, closely tracking other prominent measures commonly adopted to assess uncertainty. The dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037349
. It shows that similar press releases generate less market volatility, but that more substantial textual changes after a … sequence of very similar statements lead to much larger volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637411
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001735709