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Learning about fiscal multipliers during the European sovereign debt crisis : evidence from a quasi-natural experiment

Gόrnicka, Lucyna; Kamps, Christophe; Koester, Gerrit; … - 2018

Identifying fiscal multipliers is usually constrained by the absence of a counterfactual scenario. Our new data set allows overcoming this problem by making use of the fact that recommendations under the EU's excessive deficit procedure (EDP) provide both a baseline no-policy-change scenario and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856496

A decomposition of structural revenue developments for euro area member states

Morris, Richard; Reiss, Lukas - 2020

This paper presents a framework for analysing the evolution of the structural government deficit estimated using the official EU methodology relevant for the Stability and Growth Pact. The focus of our framework lies in the analysis of the main driving forces of changes in estimated structural...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259400

Revenue- versus spending-based consolidation plans : the role of follow-up

Beetsma, Roel; Furtuna, Oana; Giuliodori, Massimo - 2018

The literature on fiscal multipliers finds that spending-based fiscal consolidations tend to have more benign macro-economic consequences than revenue-based consolidations. By directly comparing ex-post data with consolidation plans, we present evidence of a systematically weaker follow-up of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904377

Fiscal activism in the euro area and in other advanced economies : new evidence

Attinasi, Maria Grazia; Palazzo, Alessandra Anna; … - 2019

We review the determinants of the discretionary fiscal policy action of governments in the euro area and in other advanced economies during the past 20 years. This is done by estimating fiscal reaction functions using dynamic panel techniques and country-by-country estimates. The results suggest...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135940

Labor market institutions and macroeconomic volatility in a panel of OECD countries

Rumler, Fabio; Scharler, Johann - 2009

In this paper we analyze empirically how labor market institutions influence business cycle volatility in a sample of … protection legislation appear to play a limited role for output volatility. We also find some evidence suggesting that highly … coordinated wage bargaining systems have a dampening impact on inflation volatility. -- Business Cycles ; Inflation ; Labor Market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831754

Convex supply curves

Boehm, Christoph E.; Pandalai-Nayar, Nitya - 2020

We provide evidence that industries' supply curves are convex. To guide our empirical analysis, we develop a model, in which capacity constraints at the plant level generate convex supply curves at the industry level. The industry's capacity utilization rate is a sufficient statistic for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271523

Effects of state-dependent forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and fiscal stimulus in a low-interest-rate environment

Coenen, Günter; Montes-Galdon, Carlos; Smets, Frank - 2020

We study the incidence and severity of lower-bound episodes and the efficacy of three types of state-dependent policies - forward guidance about the future path of interest rates, large-scale asset purchases and spending-based fiscal stimulus - in ameliorating the adverse consequences stemming...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137689

The effect of public investment in Europe : a model-based assessment

Jong, Jasper de; Ferdinandusse, Marien; Funda, Josip; … - 2017

We consider the effect of an increase in public investments on output in Europe against the background of a sharp drop of public investments in a number of EU countries during the crisis and subsequent policy discussions on the need to stimulate public investments. We start with a brief overview...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637424

Assessing the fiscal-monetary policy mix in the euro area

Bańkowski, Krzysztof; Christoffel, Kai; Faria, Thomas - 2021

This paper attempts to gauge the effects of various fiscal and monetary policy rules on macroeconomic outcomes in the euro area. It consists of two major parts – a historical assessment and an assessment based on an extended scenario until 2030 – and it builds on the ECB-BASE –a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705515

One scheme fits all : a central fiscal capacity for the EMU targeting eurozone, national and regional shocks

Beetsma, Roel; Cimadomo, Jacopo; Spronsen, Josha van - 2022

This paper proposes a central fiscal capacity for the euro area that generates transfers in response to euro area, country, and region-specific shocks. The main novelty of this fiscal capacity is that it allows a joint response to these three types of shocks within a single scheme. Based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252988

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