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How does risk flow in the credit default swap market?

D'Errico, Marco; Battiston, Stefano; Peltonen, Tuomo; … - 2017

We develop a framework to analyse the Credit Default Swaps (CDS) market as a network of risk transfers among counterparties. From a theoretical perspective, we introduce the notion of flow-of-risk and provide sufficient conditions for a bow-tie network architecture to endogenously emerge as a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636198

An analysis of euro area sovereign CDS and their relation with government bonds

Fontana, Alessandro; Scheicher, Martin - 2010

This paper studies the relative pricing of euro area sovereign CDS and the underlying government bonds. Our sample comprises weekly CDS and bond spreads of ten euro area countries for the period from January 2006 to June 2010. We first compare the determinants of CDS spreads and bond spreads and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746582

The Janus-headed salvation : sovereign and bank credit risk premia during 2008-09

Ejsing, Jacob Wellendorph - 2009

As the global banking crisis intensified in the fall of 2008, governments announced comprehensive rescue packages for financial institutions. In this paper, we put the joint response of euro area bank and sovereign CDS premia under the microscope. We find that the bank rescue packages led to a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969276

It's not time to make a change : sovereign fragility and the corporate credit risk

Fornari, Fabio; Zaghini, Andrea - 2022

Relying on a perspective borrowed from monetary policy announcements and introducing an econometric twist in the traditional event study analysis, we document the existence of an "event risk transfer", namely a significant credit risk transmission from the sovereign to the corporate sector after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013391043

A value at risk analysis of credit default swaps

Raunig, Burkhard; Scheicher, Martin - 2008

We investigate the risk of holding credit default swaps (CDS) in the trading book and compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm's equity using a sample of CDS stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period from March 2003 to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825863

Labour at risk

Botelho, Vasco; Foroni, Claudia; Renzetti, Andrea - 2023

We propose a Bayesian VAR model with stochastic volatility and time varying skewness to estimate the degree of labour … at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … the unemployment rate displays time-varying volatility and skewness, with peaks coinciding with the Global Financial …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362647

Agent-based model of system-wide implications of funding risk

Hałaj, Grzegorz - 2018

Liquidity has its systemic aspect that is frequently neglected in research and risk management applications. We build a model that focuses on systemic aspects of liquidity and its links with solvency conditions accounting for pertinent interactions between market participants in an agent-based...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779837

Government loan guarantees, market liquidity, and lending standards

Ahnert, Toni; Kuncl, Martin - 2022

We study third-party loan guarantees in a model in which lenders can screen, learn loan quality over time and can sell loans before maturity when in need of liquidity. Loan guarantees improve market liquidity and reduce lending standards, with a positive overall welfare effect. Guarantees...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342211

Attention to the tail(s) : global financial conditions and exchange rate risks

Eguren-Martin, Fernando; Sokol, Andrej - 2020

We document how the distribution of exchange rate returns responds to changes in global financial conditions. We measure global financial conditions as the common component of country-specific financial condition indices, computed consistently across a large panel of developed and emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197839

Risk endogeneity at the lender/investor-of-last-resort

Caballero, Diego; Lucas, André; Schwaab, Bernd; Zhang, Xin - 2019

We address the question to what extent a central bank can de-risk its balance sheet by unconventional monetary policy operations. To this end, we propose a novel risk measurement framework to empirically study the time-variation in central bank portfolio credit risks associated with such...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959298

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