Showing 1 - 10 of 378
The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for in ation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do so … expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate …. We show that nominal sovereign bond yields for Germany, France, Japan and the United States, reflect, over the more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832616
subordinated bond yield spreads over senior unsecured bonds, and links the bond yields developments with the characteristics of the … play a key role in explaining bond spreads. Interestingly, after the introduction of the new bail-in framework, there is a … convergence between the bond yields of the GSIBs and the non-GSIBs, which could point out to a reduction in the market perception …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104463
This paper investigates the sensitivity of the demand for safe government debt to currency unhedged and hedged excess returns in a sample of US mutual funds. We find evidence of active rebalancing towards government bonds that offer relatively higher returns on an unhedged basis, in particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527087
We trace the impact of the ECB's asset purchase programme (APP) on the sovereign yield curve. Exploiting granular information on sectoral asset holdings and ECB asset purchases, we construct a novel measure of the "free-float of duration risk" borne by price-sensitive investors. We include this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012024810
timed the bond market by shifting their issuance toward bonds eligible for the program. However, issuers of eligible bonds … bond market and in the default swap market, whereas the valuation of eligible bonds did not change relative to comparable … ineligible bonds. Firms took advantage of reduced risk premia by issuing riskier bond types. Using a novel and comprehensive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422429
We propose a consumption-based model that allows for an inverted term structure of real and nominal risk-free rates. In our framework the agent is subject to time-varying macroeconomic risk and interest rates at all maturities depend on her risk perception which shape saving propensities over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011816113
This paper uses a dynamic panel approach to explain the determinants of widening sovereign bond yield spreads vis … debt ratios relative to Germany contributed to higher government bond yield spreads in the euro area during the analysed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969288
prices than their off-the-run counterparts. We examine if the same phenomenon is present in the German government bond market … controlled for. Instead, the highly liquid German bond futures market, whose turnover is many times larger than in the cash … during the recent financial crisis. -- Government bond ; liquidity ; liquidity premium ; futures market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963737