Showing 1 - 10 of 393
This paper predicts phases of the financial cycle by combining a continuous financial stress measure in a Markov switching framework. The debt service ratio and property market variables signal a transition to a high financial stress regime, while economic sentiment indicators provide signals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647949
This paper studies the long-run evolution of bank risk and its links to the macroeconomy. Using data for 17 advanced economies, we show that the riskiness of bank assets declined materially between 1870 and 2016. But even though bank assets have become safer, the losses on these assets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013265941
financial system to minimize potential contagion losses. Building on ideas from combinatorial optimization tailored to … controlling contagion in case of complete information about an interbank network, we augment the model with three plausible types … contagion losses and the policy authority's ability to control them depend on the assumed fire sale mechanism and the fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519357
fundamental and acquire information about the macro shock. Contagion can occur even after investors learn that region 2 has no ex …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189252
sector, in a context of leverage targeting. Contagion can occur through direct interbank exposures, and indirect exposures … contagion is negligible in our analysis. Our findings underscore the importance of accurately estimating the price effects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384482
The analysis of contagion in financial networks has primarily focused on transmission channels operating through direct … linkages. This paper develops a model of financial contagion in the interbank market featuring both direct and indirect … the impact of direct contagion increases gradually with the shock intensity, the effect of indirect contagion is subject …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483684
This paper develops composite indicators of financial integration within the euro area for both price-based and quantity-based indicators covering money, bond, equity and banking markets. Prior to aggregation, individual integration indicators are harmonised by applying the probability integral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104477
The global nature of derivatives markets, and the presence of large key financial institutions trading in several markets across the globe, call for taking a "macro" view on the interconnections arising in the clearing network. Based on the analysis of derivatives transactions data reported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135903
The network structure of non-centrally cleared derivative markets, uncovered via the European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR), is investigated with a focus on the Covid-19 market turmoil period. Initial and variation margin networks are reconstructed to analyze channels of potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367590
Using household survey data, we document evidence of a loosening of credit standards in Euro area countries that experienced a property price boom-and-bust cycle. Borrowers in these countries exhibited significantly higher loan-to-value (LTV) and loan-to-income (LTI) ratios in the run up to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009077