Showing 1 - 10 of 318
This paper studies the nature, evolution, and sources of inflation heterogeneity across households in France and … Germany. Inflation differences are large and persistent. The two main sources of inflation heterogeneity are spatial …. Income heterogeneity by itself is not a relevant determinant of inflation heterogeneity, but due to its correlation with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484471
-Wouters model and its forecasts of real GDP growth and inflation are compared with those from two extensions. The first adds … extensions improve the density forecasts of real GDP and inflation and their joint forecasts up to an eight-quarter horizon. We … find that adding financial frictions leads to a deterioration in the forecasts, with the exception of longer-term inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813503
In this paper, we utilise the multi-country version of the NAWM to analyse the impact of globalisation on euro area macroeconomic aggregates. We provide alternative modelbased definitions of globalisation associated with an increase in potential output in emerging Asia and its impact on total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003782654
Using vector autoregressions on U.S. time series for 1957-1979 and 1983-2004, we find government spending shocks to have stronger effects on output, consumption, and wages in the earlier sample. We try to account for this observation within a DSGE model featuring price rigidities and limited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003274698
We study the redistributive effects of surprise inflation combining administrative bank data with an information … provision experiment during an episode of historic inflation. On average, households are well-informed about prevailing … inflation and are concerned about its impact on their wealth; yet, while many households know about inflation eroding nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490357
We measure the heterogeneous welfare effects of the recent inflation surge across households in the Euro Area. A simple … framework illustrating the numerous channels of the transmission mechanism of surprise inflation to household welfare guides our …; (ii) this inflation episode resembles an age-dependent tax, with the elderly losing up to 20%, and roughly half of the 25 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483008
It has been widely documented that households experience different inflation rates which are generally concealed in … individual households and try to explain the causes for the observed inflation differences. Considering not only consumption … among household inflation rates. These are also quite variable over time, resulting from varying consumption baskets and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484420
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702818
We analyse the impact of fiscal policy shocks in the euro area as a whole, using a newly available quarterly dataset of fiscal variables for the period 1981-2007. To allow for comparability with previous results on euro area countries and the US, we use a standard structural VAR framework, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969292
estimates for inflation forecasting both in the short term (one-quarter and one-year ahead) and the medium term (two-year and … measure appears superior to all others in all respects. - Output gap ; real-time data ; euro area ; inflation forecasts ; real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971060