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notably with the pandemic. In a VAR, allowing the errors to have a distribution with fatter tails than the Gaussian one equips … the model to better deal with the COVID-19 shock. A standard Gaussian VAR can still be used for producing conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519429
This paper quantifies the pass-through of a US dollar appreciation on trade variables and domestic financial conditions in a panel of 34 countries. Pass-through coefficients are highly shock-dependent: if the appreciation is driven by a US expansionary shock, the positive effects of stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285964
The role that the price of oil plays in economic analysis in central banks as well as in financial markets has evolved over time. Oil is not seen anymore just as a input to production but also as a barometer of global economic activity as well as a financial asset. A high frequency structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299083
the implications of the model through a Structural Vector Auto Regression (VAR) that separates non-OPEC and OPEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154179
euro area as a whole and in its five largest countries. In a Bayesian VAR framework, the two credit supply shocks are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013265943
This paper assesses the impact of weather shocks on inflation components in the four largest euro area economies. We combine high-frequency weather data with monthly data on inflation and output growth within a set of Bayesian Vector Autoregressions which explicitly considers the seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278607
New Keynesian Phillips Curves (NKPC) have been extensively used in the analysis of monetary policy, but yet there are a number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first is whether such equations are identified. To check...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778781
monetary shock and a preference shock are comparable to those of an identified VAR model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003320768
exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003310812
structural VAR are truly structural? Second, can the problem of nonfundamentalness be solved by considering additional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337176