Showing 1 - 10 of 55
This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around … expectations, as measured by the skewness of option-implied probability distributions of future bond yields. The results show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636538
than previously found using market-traded options. Finally, we find that wide-range interval and density forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639420
, the US stock markets and credit risk. We find that the risk-neutral densities exhibit pronounced negative skewness. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009639855
This paper proposes a new test for the asset pricing model of the exchange rate. It examines whether the way market analysts generate their forecasts is closer to the one implied by the asset pricing model, or to any of those implied by some alternative models. The asset pricing model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640340
During the last decade, markets for covered warrants (bank-issued options) have flourished in Europe and Asia. In these … trades in call options on the German DAX index, this paper documents substantial price dispersion across securities that are … close substitutes. Moreover, investors generally fail to identify attractively priced options. The results suggest that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640343
This study calibrates the term structure of risk premia before and during the 2007/2008 financial crisis using a new calibration approach based on credit default swaps. The risk premium term structure was flat before the crisis and downward sloping during the crisis. The instantaneous risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640393
the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete … history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over ten years of daily data, from 13 January 1999 onwards. Time series of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640514
This paper analyzes the efficiency of risk-taking decisions in an economy that is prone to systemic risk, captured by financial amplification effects that occur in response to strong adverse shocks. It shows that decentralized agents who have unconstrained access to a complete set of Arrow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640834
This paper investigates the market pricing of subprime mortgage risk on the basis of data for the ABX.HE family of indices, which have become a key barometer of mortgage market conditions during the recent financial crisis. After an introduction into ABX index mechanics and a discussion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003866554
We investigate the risk of holding credit default swaps (CDS) in the trading book and compare the Value at Risk (VaR) of a CDS position to the VaR for investing in the respective firm's equity using a sample of CDS stock price pairs for 86 actively traded firms over the period from March 2003 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003825863