Showing 1 - 10 of 474
I propose a dynamic general equilibrium model in which strategic interactions between banks and depositors may lead to endogenous bank fragility and slow recovery from crises. When banks' investment decisions are not contractible, depositors form expectations about bank risk-taking and demand a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959253
In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multidimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity at short-term and long-term bond maturities into a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921004
-directional causality between ratings and spreads within 1-2 weeks; spillover effects especially from lower rated countries to higher rated … countries; and persistence effects for recently downgraded countries. - Credit ratings ; sovereign yields ; rating agencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009160019
This paper investigates the link between sovereign ratings and macroeconomic fundamentals for a group of euro area … explained by economic developments. The estimated model re-produces historical ratings by using a small number of economic and … Fitch in their assignment of sovereign ratings. Our results suggest that the size of the downgrades observed since the start …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637529
Sovereign debt crises are difficult to solve. This paper studies the "holdout problem", meaning the risk that creditors refuse to participate in a debt restructuring. We document a large variation in holdout rates, based on a comprehensive new dataset of 23 bond restructurings with external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150129
This paper uses a unique dataset where credit rejections experienced by euro area firms are matched with firm and bank characteristics. This allows us to study simultaneously the role that bank and firm weakness had in the credit reduction observed in the euro area during the sovereign debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150099
-directional causality between ratings and spreads within 1-2 weeks; spillover effects especially from lower rated countries to higher rated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640836
This paper studies spillovers among US and European sovereign yields. We provide a new method based on absolute magnitude restrictions of the impact matrix to identify the countries that were the main sources of spillovers. Despite the large size of shocks from euro area stressed countries,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647980
This paper studies the effects of government guarantees on the interconnection between banking and sovereign debt crises in a framework where both the banks and the government are fragile and the credibility and feasibility of the guarantees are determined endogenously. The analysis delivers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011648311
We quantify the size of fiscal multipliers under financial fragmentation risk and demonstrate how non-standard monetary policy can support the macroeconomic transmission of fiscal interventions. We employ a DSGE model with financial frictions whereby the interplay of corporate, banks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241104