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We evaluate the effects of permanently reducing labour tax rates in the euro area (EA) by simulating a large-scale open economy dynamic general equilibrium model. The model features the EA as a monetary union, split in two regions (Home and the rest of the EA - REA), the US, and the rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792134
expansionary demand shock and to an inflationary supply shock under the Taylor rule, asymmetric unemployment targeting, and average … inflation targeting. For each rule we distinguish between cases with zero weight on the unemployment gap and a negative response … to rising unemployment. Across all rules, responding to unemployment leads to lower losses of employment and higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492935
supranational unemployment insurance scheme. The model is calibrated to the euro area's core and periphery and features a rich …-regional correlation of unemployment and in ation increases by up to 52% and 27%, respectively, compared to the decentralised setting. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241162
This paper analyses the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic shock on small open economies in a monetary union with an application to the euro area. Accounting for a high degree of openness and a strong dependence on intra and extra union trade, we focus on the size and the direction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643287
The business cycle is alive and well, and real variables respond to it more or less as they always did. Witness the Great Recession. In ation, in contrast, has gone quiescent. This paper studies the sources of this disconnect using VARs and an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241237
We simulate a version of the EAGLE, a New Keynesian multi-country model of the world economy, to assess the macroeconomic effects of US tariffs imposed on one country member of the euro area (EA), and the rest of the world (RW). The model is augmented with an endogenous effective lower bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241231
We quantify the size of fiscal multipliers under financial fragmentation risk and demonstrate how non-standard monetary policy can support the macroeconomic transmission of fiscal interventions. We employ a DSGE model with financial frictions whereby the interplay of corporate, banks and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241104
We use mixed-frequency (quarterly-monthly) data to estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model embedded with the financial accelerator mechanism a la Bernanke et al. (1999). We find that the financial accelerator can work very differently at monthly frequency compared to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815038
This paper develops a model with multiple steady states (low tax and unemployment rate versus high tax and unemployment … European unemployment rates observed during the seventies. The explanation given is that even if the unemployment rate would … job creation remains low making the return to a low unemployment rate impossible. The paper shows that in some cases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635968
with a SVAR model by inspecting how unemployment responds to the state of the economy. We show that deviations from Okun …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332832