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We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
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The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for in ation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do so … expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate …. We show that nominal sovereign bond yields for Germany, France, Japan and the United States, reflect, over the more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
subordinated bond yield spreads over senior unsecured bonds, and links the bond yields developments with the characteristics of the … play a key role in explaining bond spreads. Interestingly, after the introduction of the new bail-in framework, there is a … convergence between the bond yields of the GSIBs and the non-GSIBs, which could point out to a reduction in the market perception …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104463
In this paper, we study the dynamics and drivers of sovereign bond yields in euro area countries using a factor model … mechanism of bond yields. Our key contribution is exploring both the global and the local dimensions of bond yield determinants … periphery euro area bond yields from the core countries yields following the financial crisis and the scope of their subsequent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637545
This paper investigates the sensitivity of the demand for safe government debt to currency unhedged and hedged excess returns in a sample of US mutual funds. We find evidence of active rebalancing towards government bonds that offer relatively higher returns on an unhedged basis, in particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527087
This paper uses index number theory to disentangle changes in aggregate retail interest rates due to changes in individual component rates ("interest rate effect") from those caused by changes in the weights of each component ("weight effect"), on the basis of the "difference" index numbers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790944
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288706
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This paper provides new empirical evidence that bears on the efficacy of unconventional monetary policies when the main policy rate is negative. When a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) is deployed in concert with rate forward guidance (FG) and quantitative easing (QE), the identification of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519567