Showing 1 - 10 of 502
This paper proposes mixed-frequency distributed-lag (MFDL) estimators of impulse response functions (IRFs) in a setup where (i) the shock of interest is observed, (ii) the impact variable of interest is observed at a lower frequency (as a temporally aggregated or sequentially sampled variable),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058985
Time-varying parameter (TVP) models have the potential to be over-parameterized, particularly when the number of variables in the model is large. Global-local priors are increasingly used to induce shrinkage in such models. But the estimates produced by these priors can still have appreciable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117683
This paper builds an unobserved components model that combines a multivariate filter approach with a Cobb-Douglas production function. This combination allows potential output estimates to incorporate more economic structure than the traditional production function approach, while retaining the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429180
How much does quality adjustment matter in measuring consumer price inflation? To address this question, we use … inflation only by 0.06 percentage points, which is balanced out by an increase due to quantity adjustment (e.g. a smaller … deriving the distribution of member states' cumulative inflation rates for typical quality-adjusted products. Our macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547956
breaks in the performance of most simple Phillips curves. Euro area inflation was particularly hard to forecast in the run … practitioners, we find that: (i) the key type of time variation to consider is an inflation trend; (ii) a simple filter-based output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299084
Households face earnings risk which is non-normal and varies by age and over the income distribution. We show that allowing for these rich features of earnings dynamics, in the context of a structurally estimated life-cycle portfolio choice model, helps to rationalize the limited participation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278693
wages and labor market shocks feed into the inflation process and derive monetary policy implications. Towards that aim, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003337206
This paper estimates the size and dynamics of inflation risk premia in the euro area, based on a joint model of … affect the returns on both nominal and index-linked bonds. On average, inflation risk premia were negligible during the EMU … appear to have mostly reflected such variations in inflation risk premia, while long-term inflation expectations have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003422844
In this paper we study the zero frequency spectral properties of fractionally cointegrated long memory processes and introduce a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the factor loading matrix for the long memory factors. We find that for fractionally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636544
Testing and estimating the rank of a matrix of estimated parameters is key in a large variety of econometric modelling scenarios. This paper describes general methods to test for and estimate the rank of a matrix, and provides details on a variety of modelling scenarios in the econometrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003636063