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linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003993976
-specific models include a Phillips curve determining inflation, an IS curve determining output, a Taylor Rule determining interest …. We discuss estimation of impulse response functions and variance decompositions in such large systems, and present … through error spillover effects. Bootstrapped error bands are also provided for the cross country responses of a shock to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657123
data on monetary policy shock estimates for 29 economies obtained from more than 280 monetary models in the literature …. Consistent with the predictions from our hypothesis we find: Monetary policy shock estimates obtained from New Keynesian DSGE … contamination is more severe for economies that are more susceptible to financial spillovers in the data; and the shock estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664579
intermediation turns an otherwise diversifiable source of idiosyncratic economic uncertainty, the 'risk shock', into a systemic force …. - DSGE model ; Financial frictions ; Financial shocks ; Bayesian estimation ; Lending channel ; Funding channel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973320
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002554857
The paper studies how a prolonged period of subdued price developments may induce a de-anchoring of inflation … learning, choosing among a set of alternative forecasting models. The analysis is accompanied by empirical evidence on the … properties of inflation expectations in the euro area. Our results also suggest that monetary policy may lose effectiveness if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636284
We analyse the implications of asymmetric monetary policy rules by estimating Markovswitching DSGE models for the euro area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to in ation was more forceful when in ation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617047
We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances of local structural shocks from a stochastic volatility specification. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
The Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy announcements have created massive spillovers to global financial markets. Based on daily data for the sample from 1999 to 2019, this study finds that the Fed's monetary policy announcements created significant international spillovers to bond yields...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483005
We simulate a version of the EAGLE, a New Keynesian multi-country model of the world economy, to assess the macroeconomic effects of US tariffs imposed on one country member of the euro area (EA), and the rest of the world (RW). The model is augmented with an endogenous effective lower bound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241231