Showing 1 - 10 of 1,451
The role that the price of oil plays in economic analysis in central banks as well as in financial markets has evolved over time. Oil is not seen anymore just as a input to production but also as a barometer of global economic activity as well as a financial asset. A high frequency structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299083
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380090
risk. An adverse supply shock leads to a deterioration of firms' riskiness 10 per cent above the average PD. Contractionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484468
economic growth to a fiscal shock are mostly positive in both financial stress regimes; (iii) financial stress has a negative … shock is mainly associated with different behaviour across regimes; (v) the size of the fiscal multipliers is higher than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935826
Satellite-GVAR model appears to be a useful tool for analysing plausible global macrofinancial shock scenarios designed for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003748979
We study the identification of policy shocks in Bayesian proxy VARs for the case that the instrument consists of sparse qualitative observations indicating the signs of certain shocks. We propose two identification schemes, i.e. linear discriminant analysis and a non-parametric sign concordance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138603
We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636548
The paper provides a systematic empirical analysis of the role of the housing market in the macroeconomy in the US and in the euro area. First, it establishes some stylised facts concerning key variables in the housing market, such as the real house price, residential investment and mortgage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971203
dollar shock, generalised impulse response function shocks and a global shock to risk aversion. Our results show that the way … depends crucially on the nature of the shock. This result is noteworthy given the apparent divergence in competitiveness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901483
overwhelmingly large. This finding is also confirmed under different identification strategies for the monetary policy shock …. - Monetary policy Shock ; Oil Price ; VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994006