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Standard New Keynesian (NK) models feature an optimal inflation target well below two percent, limited welfare losses …-run Phillips curve between inflation and unemployment and a trade-off between price distortions and output hysteresis that change … the welfare-maximizing inflation level. For a plausible set of parameters, the optimal inflation target is in excess of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745355
We show that the composition of imports has important implications for the optimal volatility of the exchange rate. Using input-output data for 25 countries we document substantial differences in the import and non-tradable content of final demand components, and in the role played by imported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771785
deviate from the strict inflation targeting since the policy maker faces a typical unemployment/inflation trade-off. In this … context and unlike a standard New Keynesian model stabilizing inflation is not sufficient to stabilize the marginal cost … matches. Hence optimal monetary policy features unemployment targeting along with inflation targeting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003396811
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We analyse the implications of asymmetric monetary policy rules by estimating Markovswitching DSGE models for the euro area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to in ation was more forceful when in ation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617047
This paper analyzes monetary policy in a model with a potential unanchoring of inflation expectations. The degree of … unanchoring is given by how sensitively the public's long-run inflation expectations respond to inflation surprises. I find that … inflation fluctuations when expectations are well-anchored. Furthermore, I estimate the model-implied relationship that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285965
Assigning a discretionary central bank a mandate to stabilize an average in ation rate| rather than a period-by-period in ation rate|increases welfare in a New Keynesian model with an occasionally binding lower bound on nominal interest rates. Under rational expecta- tions, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206238
monetary and credit aggregates are very often selected among the top predictors of inflation, with their predictive power … and credit variables in forecasting inflation, even if their information content is diluted in a much broader pool of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637074