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The evidence suggests that monetary policy transmission is asymmetric over the business cycle. Interacting financing frictions with a preference for liquidity provides an explanation for this fact. Our mechanism generates monetary asymmetries in a model that jointly reproduces a set of asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527042
This paper studies how to combine real-time forecasts from a broad range of Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012507233
We propose a Bayesian VAR model with stochastic volatility and time varying skewness to estimate the degree of labour …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362647
This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012405305
The purpose of this paper is to study the compensation for in ation risks priced in sovereign bond yields. And we do so by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation risks from the perspective of a well diversified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
In the framework of a new money market econometric model, we assess the degree of precision achieved by the European Central Bank ECB) in meeting its operational target for the short-term interest rate and the impact of the U.S. sub-prime credit crisis on the euro money market during the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826033
-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
back end of the yield curve. We then feed these rate counterfactuals into a large-scale Bayesian VAR and generate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519567
We propose a shadow-rate term structure model for the euro area yield curve from 1999 to mid-2015, when bond yields had turned negative at various maturities. Yields in the model are constrained by a lower bound, but - as a special feature of our specification - the bound is allowed to change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635307
recessions than during booms. This state dependence is essentially due to the time-variation in stochastic discounting that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881163