Showing 1 - 10 of 328
A key insight from the open economy literature is that domestic price stability is in general not optimal for countries that exert some market power over their terms of trade. Under commitment, a national benevolent monetary policymaker improves upon the allocation associated with stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792170
small open economy undergoing real convergence. We consider the effects of productivity catch-up and misperceptions about … future productivity developments. Our results indicate that even if real convergence takes the form of a gradual process, the … productivity shifts can generate sizable boom-bust cycles and so be relevant in accounting for cyclical deviations from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003993984
We examine, conditional on structural shocks, the macroeconomic performance of different countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) rules in small open economy estimated medium scale DSGE. We find that rules based on the credit gap create a trade-off between the stabilization of fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820128
Economists, observers and policy-makers often emphasize the role of sentiment as a potential driver of the business cycle. In this paper we provide three contributions to this debate. First, we critically survey the existing literature on sentiment (considering both confidence and uncertainty)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011719915
We estimate business cycle regime switching logit models for G7 countries to determine the effect of duration of the current business cycle phase and of foreign recessions on the likelihood that expansions and recessions come to an end. With respect to expansions in a G7 country, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937263
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619389
What are the drivers of business cycle fluctuations? And how many are there? By documenting strong and predictable co-movement of real variables during the business cycle in a sample of advanced economies, we argue that most business cycle fluctuations a re d riven b y o ne major factor. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011647948
We study differences in the adjustment of aggregate real wages in the manufacturing sector over the business cycle across OECD countries, combining results from different data and dynamic methods. Summary measures of cyclicality show genuine cross-country heterogeneity even after controlling for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831747
This paper analyses the endogeneity of euro area total factor productivity and its role in business cycle amplification … by estimating a medium-scale DSGE model with endogenous productivity mechanism on euro area data. In this framework …, total factor productivity evolves endogenously as a consequence of costly investment in R&D and adoption of new technologies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212852
news about future productivity. By contrast, the baseline RBC model produces neither persistent growth rates nor business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343098