Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the coefficient in the Phillips curve on the …

We build a novel term structure model for pricing synthetic euro area core inflation-linked swaps, a hypothetical swap … contract indexed to core inflation. Our approach relies on a term structure model of traded headline inflation-linked swap … rates, which we assume span core inflation. The model provides estimates of market-based expectations for core inflation, as …

This paper studies the effect of monetary policy on inflation along the income distribution in several euro area …. On the one hand, different consumption shares imply that inflation by high-income households responds less to monetary … its reaction to monetary policy, which imply that inflation by high-income households responds more to monetary policy. …

Can the aging process affect inflation? The prolonged decline of fertility and mortality rates induces a persistent … downward pressure on the natural interest rate. If this development is not internalized by the monetary policy rule, inflation … inflation found in the data for the euro area. In this model, continuing to follow the same rule makes inflation to be on a …

In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …