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Relative house price dynamics across euro area and US cities: convergence or divergence?
Hiebert, Paul; Roma, Moreno - 2010
This paper examines the time varying dispersion in city house price levels across the four biggest euro area countries compared with those in the United States. Using available city-level data over the period 1987-2008, it tests for price convergence and analyses key factors explaining price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973532
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Do house price developments spill over across euro area countries? : evidence from a Global VAR
Hiebert, Paul; Vansteenkiste, Isabel - 2009
This paper empirically assesses the prospects for house price spillovers in the euro area, where co-movement in house prices across countries may be particularly relevant given a general trend with monetary union toward increasing linkages in trade, financial markets, and general economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832315
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Navigating the housing channel of monetary policy across euro area regions
Battistini, Niccolò; Falagiarda, Matteo; Hackmann, Angelina - 2022
This paper assesses the role of the housing market in the transmission of conventional and unconventional monetary policy across euro area regions. By exploiting a novel regional dataset on housing-related variables, a structural panel VAR analysis shows that monetary policy propagates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448726
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Macroeconomic implications of oil price fluctuations : a regime-switching framework for the euro area
Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; Hubrich, Kirstin - 2017
We investigate whether the response of the macro-economy to oil price shocks undergoes episodic changes. Employing a regime-switching vector autoregressive model we identify two regimes that are characterized by qualitatively different patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
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Monetary/fiscal policy regimes in post-war Europe
Bouabdallah, Othman; Jacquinot, Pascal; Patella, Valeria - 2023
In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three distinct monetary/fiscal regimes in France and Italy: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
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Monetary policy and regional inequality
Hauptmeier, Sebastian; Holm-Hadulla, Fédéric; … - 2020
We study the impact of monetary policy on regional inequality using granular data on economic activity at the city- and county-level in Europe. We document pronounced heterogeneity in the regional patterns of monetary policy transmission. The output response to monetary policy shocks is stronger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197783
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Low inflation and monetary policy in the euro area
Conti, Antonio M.; Neri, Stefano; Nobili, Andrea - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below target thereafter. This paper employs a Bayesian VAR to quantify the contribution of a set of structural shocks, identified by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
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Using machine learning to measure financial risk in China
Al-Haschimi, Alexander; Apostolou, Apostolos; … - 2023
We develop a measure of overall financial risk in China by applying machine learning techniques to textual data. A pre … drivers. The resulting aggregated indicator can identify major episodes of overall heightened financial risks in China, which … the financial risk measure have a significant impact on macroeconomic and financial variables in China and abroad. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492909
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Regional housing market spillovers in the US : lessons from regional divergences in a common monetary policy setting
Vansteenkiste, Isabel (contributor) - 2007
In this paper, we seek to quantify the importance of state-level housing price spillovers and interest rate shocks to house price developments in the United States. The econometric approach involves an application of the recently developed global VAR (GVAR) as presented in Dées, DiMauro,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003410534
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What drives returns to euro area housing? : evidence from a dynamic dividend-discount model
Hiebert, Paul; Sydow, Matthias - 2009
We apply a dynamic dividend-discount model to analyse unexpected housing returns in a panel of eight euro area countries which together comprise 90% of euro area GDP. The application of this model allows for a decomposition of house price movements into movements in rent (cash-flow) and expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831848