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. The risk of future regime shifts has encompassing effects on equilibrium. Inflation is systematically higher than it would … stability. This inflation bias is increasing in the real value of government debt. Regime-switching probabilities are not … interest rate sufficiently moderately when inflation increases. Lower fiscal dominance risk, in turn, mitigates the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484339
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702818
on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We … that this over-proportionality is stronger for the fiscal multiplier on inflation than on output. We relate this finding to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637428
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547978
In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and … inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
We investigate which variables have supported growth in the euro area over the last 30 years. This is a challenging task due to dimensionality problems: a large set of potential determinants, limited data, and the prospect that some variables could be non-stationary. We assemble a set of 35...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625874
We provide evidence that industries' supply curves are convex. To guide our empirical analysis, we develop a model, in which capacity constraints at the plant level generate convex supply curves at the industry level. The industry's capacity utilization rate is a sufficient statistic for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271523
This paper compares the role of monetary and fiscal policy shocks in advanced and emerging economies. Using a model with a hierarchical structure we capture the variability of GDP response to policy shocks both between and within the groups of advanced and emerging countries. Our results provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011987115
We study optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model where occasional declines in agents' confidence can give rise to persistent liquidity trap episodes. Unlike in the case of fundamental-driven liquidity traps, there is no straightforward recipe for mitigating the welfare costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037377
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137689