Showing 1 - 10 of 257
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765209
We test whether a simple measure of corporate insolvency based on equity return volatility - and denoted as Distance to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448706
This paper provides new empirical evidence that bears on the efficacy of unconventional monetary policies when the main policy rate is negative. When a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) is deployed in concert with rate forward guidance (FG) and quantitative easing (QE), the identification of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519567
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months’ time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901645
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
using a Time-Varying Coefficients VAR with Stochastic Volatility (TV-VAR) for the US. The model generates accurate … ; Stochastic Volatility ; Time Varying Vector Autoregression …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003971298
We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy … shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances of local structural shocks from a stochastic volatility specification …. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the endogenous variables and time-varying volatility in the global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
This paper illustrates how to handle a sequence of extreme observations-such as those recorded during the COVID-19 pandemic-when estimating a Vector Autoregression, which is the most popular time-series model in macroeconomics. Our results show that the ad-hoc strategy of dropping these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271529
We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the … common global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation, interest rates and stock prices …, although to a varying extent over time. Region-specific uncertainty drives most of the exchange rate volatility for all Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363