Showing 1 - 10 of 490
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months’ time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901645
The financial crisis has highlighted the need for models that can identify counterparty risk exposures and shock transmission processes at the systemic level. We use the euro area financial accounts (flow of funds) data to construct a sector-level network of bilateral balance sheet exposures and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969268
We compare the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area, the United States and the United Kingdom …, focusing on the post-crisis period. First of all, we estimate a set of measures of average and tail correlation using inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636301
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636306
We propose a regime-switching approach to deal with the lower bound on nominal interest rates in dynamic term structure modelling. In the "lower bound regime", the short term rate is expected to remain constant at levels close to the effective lower bound; in the "normal regime", the short rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107934
This paper studies how banks' balance sheets and funding costs interact in the transmission of monetary-policy rates to banks' credit supply to firms. To do so, we use credit-registry data from Germany and Portugal together with the European Central Bank's policy-rate cuts in mid-2014. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448680
on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We … that this over-proportionality is stronger for the fiscal multiplier on inflation than on output. We relate this finding to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637428
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical analysis of the role of discretionary fiscal policy for inflation … is difficult to find robust evidence of the fiscal policy stance or impulse impacting directly on inflation differentials …. We do find, however, support for an indirect effect of discretionary fiscal policy on inflation differentials working …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013547978
inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
. The risk of future regime shifts has encompassing effects on equilibrium. Inflation is systematically higher than it would … stability. This inflation bias is increasing in the real value of government debt. Regime-switching probabilities are not … interest rate sufficiently moderately when inflation increases. Lower fiscal dominance risk, in turn, mitigates the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484339