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A new indicator of inflation expectations anchoring
Natoli, Filippo; Sigalotti, Laura - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We compare the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area, the United States and the United Kingdom …, focusing on the post-crisis period. First of all, we estimate a set of measures of average and tail correlation using inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636301
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Tail co-movement in inflation expectations as an indicator of anchoring
Natoli, Filippo; Sigalotti, Laura - Task Force on Low Inflation (LIFT) - 2017
We analyze the degree of anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area during the post-crisis period, with a …. Using a new estimation technique, we look at tail co-movements between short- and long-term distributions of inflation … expectations, estimated from daily quotes of inflation derivatives. We find that, during 2014, average correlations between short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636306
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A quantitative mirror on the Euribor market using implied probability density functions
Vincent-Humphreys, Rupert de; Puigvert Gutiérrez, … - 2010
This paper presents a set of probability density functions for Euribor outturns in three months’ time, estimated from the prices of options on Euribor futures. It is the first official and freely available dataset to span the complete history of Euribor futures options, thus comprising over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901645
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Climate-linked bonds
Broeders, Dirk; Dimitrov, Daniel; Verhoeven, Niek - 2025
Climate-linked bonds, issued by governments and supranational organizations, are pivotal in advancing towards a net-zero economy. These bonds adjust their payoffs based on climate variables such as average temperature and greenhouse gas emissions, providing investors a hedge against long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015181854
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Balance sheet interlinkages and macro-financial risk analysis in the Euro area
Kavonius, Ilja Kristian; Castrén, Olli - 2009
The financial crisis has highlighted the need for models that can identify counterparty risk exposures and shock transmission processes at the systemic level. We use the euro area financial accounts (flow of funds) data to construct a sector-level network of bilateral balance sheet exposures and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969268
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Explaining exchange rate dynamics : the uncovered equity return parity condition
Cappiello, Lorenzo (contributor);  … - 2005
corporate earnings' growth rates, short-term interest rate changes, annual inflation rates, and net equity flows. The URP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003117226
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How arbitrage-free is the Nelson-Siegel Model?
Coroneo, Laura (contributor); Nyholm, Ken (contributor);  … - 2008
We test whether the Nelson and Siegel (1987) yield curve model is arbitrage-free in a statistical sense. Theoretically, the Nelson-Siegel model does not ensure the absence of arbitrage opportunities, as shown by Bjork and Christensen (1999). Still, central banks and public wealth managers rely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003748975
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Modelling yields at the lower bound through regime shifts
Hördahl, Peter; Tristani, Oreste - 2019
We propose a regime-switching approach to deal with the lower bound on nominal interest rates in dynamic term structure modelling. In the "lower bound regime", the short term rate is expected to remain constant at levels close to the effective lower bound; in the "normal regime", the short rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012107934
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The augmented bank balance-sheet channel of monetary policy
Bittner, Christian; Bonfim, Diana; Heider, Florian; … - 2022
This paper studies how banks' balance sheets and funding costs interact in the transmission of monetary-policy rates to banks' credit supply to firms. To do so, we use credit-registry data from Germany and Portugal together with the European Central Bank's policy-rate cuts in mid-2014. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448680
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Option-implied asymmetries in bond market expectations around monetary policy actions of the ECB
Vähämaa, Sami - 2004
This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market expectations, as measured by the skewness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636538