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We show that medium-term interest rates in the euro area, Japan, UK and US are affected by domestic and foreign shocks. We find that US rates are the main source of spillovers globally and are less exposed to foreign shocks. Foreign spillovers to European rates were negligible only during the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959276
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I assess the impact of the recent hike in bank lending rates on euro area retail borrowers using a novel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015415687
-run supply of bank credit. As U.S. bond rates have fallen, the pass-through of monetary shocks to loan and deposit rates has … weakened while the spread on U.S. bank loans has risen. I build a model in which banks earn deposit and loan spreads, deposits … dampened at low rates, because deposit spreads act as a better hedge for bank equity against unexpected monetary shocks. In the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316971
This paper uses a Global Vector Auto-Regression (GVAR) model in a panel of 21 emerging market and advanced economies to investigate the factors behind the dynamics of global trade flows, with a particular view on the issue of global trade imbalances and on the conditions of their unwinding. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963758
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This paper develops a framework for assessing systemic risks and for predicting (out-of-sample) systemic events, i.e. periods of extreme financial instability with potential real costs. We test the ability of a wide range of "stand alone" and composite indicators in predicting systemic events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935836
The paper analyses and compares the role that the tightening in liquidity conditions and the collapse in risk appetite played for the global transmission of the financial crisis. Dealing with identification and the large dimensionality of the empirical exercise with a Global VAR approach, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901498
The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003320671
This paper focuses on the role of real exchange rate volatility as a driver of portfolio home bias, and in particular as an explanation for differences in home bias across financial assets. We present a Markowitz-type portfolio selection model in which real exchange rate volatility induces a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003396699