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EME financial conditions : which global shocks matter?
Lodge, David; Manu, Ana-Simona - 2019
This paper provides a quantitative assessment of the relative importance of global structural shocks for changes in financial conditions across a sample of emerging market economies. We disentangle four key drivers of global financial markets (oil supply shocks, global economic news shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009181
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Leaning against the global financial cycle
Ferrero, Andrea; Habib, Maurizio Michael; Stracca, Livio; … - 2022
We study the role and the interaction of the quality of institutions and of counter-cyclical policies in leaning against the Global Financial Cycle (GFC) in Emerging Economies (EMEs). We show that heteroegeneity in institutional strength is a key determinant of the different effects of the GFC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013488632
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America First? : a US-centric view of global capital flows
McQuade, Peter; Schmitz, Martin - 2019
with those of the rest of the world. We analyse the relative importance of US, country-specific, and global variables as …. Global and national risk indicators perform better in explaining "rest of the world" flows. Moreover, we find that the … correlation between US and rest of the world flows peaks in periods of elevated uncertainty. We interpret our findings as evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975553
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Capital flows, push versus pull factors and the global financial crisis
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2011
The causes of the 2008 collapse and subsequent surge in global capital flows remain an open and highly controversial issue. Employing a factor model coupled with a dataset of high-frequency portfolio capital flows to 50 economies, the paper finds that common shocks - key crisis events as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009238006
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The global capital flows cycle : structural drivers and transmission channels
Habib, Maurizio Michael; Venditti, Fabrizio - 2019
In this paper, we study the effects of structural shocks that influence global risk - the main factor behind a "global capital flows cycle" - and how risk, in turn, is transmitted to capital flows. Our results show that not all the risk shocks driving the global financial cycle have the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009141
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Stigma? What stigma? : a contribution to the debate on financial market effects of IMF lending
Scheubel, Beatrice; Tafuro, Andrea; Vonessen, Benjamin - 2018
In the policy debate on the effectiveness of the Global Financial Safety Net, concerns have been raised that expectations of adverse effects of IMF programmes may deter countries from asking for an IMF programme when they need one, a form of "IMF stigma". We explore the existence of IMF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928948
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Domestic and multilateral effects of capital controls in emerging markets
Pasricha, Gurnain Kaur; Falagiarda, Matteo; … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349813
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Capital flows-at-risk : push, pull and the role of policy
Eguren-Martin, Fernando; O'Neill, Cian; Sokol, Andrej; … - 2021
We characterise the probability distributions of various categories of gross capital flows conditional on information contained in financial asset prices in a panel of emerging market economies, with a focus on "tail" events. Our framework, based on the quantile regression methodology, allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503534
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The implications of global and domestic credit cycles for emerging market economies : measures of finance-adjusted output gaps
Grintzalis, Ioannis; Lodge, David; Manu, Ana-Simona - 2017
We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637326
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Channels of international risk-sharing : capital gains versus income flows
Bracke, Thierry (contributor); Schmitz, Martin (contributor) - 2008
(rapidly) than the rest of the world. Countries with more countercyclical net capital gains experience improved consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003790943