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A number of academic studies suggest that from the mid-1990s onwards there were changes in the link between inflation … structural relationship between inflation and output, as opposed to a change in the size and nature of the shocks hitting the … inflation and resource utilization and its dependence on the nature and size of the shocks. Our analysis suggests that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009159987
near-term economic outlook, characterised by persistently low nominal interest rates and inflation, and in a lasting low …-real-interest-rate world. Our findings suggest that, if unaddressed, the lower bound can have very substantial costs in terms of worsened …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137689
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked increase in the incidence of episodes where policy rates are likely to be at, or near, the effective lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012594057
, consumption, investment and unemployment) has a distinct dynamic from disagreement about nominal variables (inflation and interest … nominal series. Countryby-country regressions for inflation and interest rates reveal that both the level of disagreement and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963738
an estimated DSGE model. It finds that the disconnect is due primarily to the muted reaction of inflation to cost … inflation stabilization also appears to have played some role by reducing the impact of demand shocks on the real economy. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241237
inflation targeting result in a binding lower bound one-fourth of the time as well as inflation and output exhibiting large … purchases. Makeup strategies, especially average inflation targeting with a long averaging window, perform better than inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278603
food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among countries, by …. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign sources for the vast … majority of the regions. -- Oil shock ; commodity prices ; inflation ; second-round effects ; Global VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867024
Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636807
In this paper we analyse in a mark-up framework the pass-through of commodity price and exchange rate shocks to the main components of producer and consumer prices. Thereby we link movements in prices at the different production stages as firms set their prices as a mark-up over production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963792
During the turbulent 1970s and 1980s the Bundesbank established an outstanding reputation in the world of central … interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831853