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shocks. - DSGE ; unemployment ; business cycles ; monetary policy ; Bayesian estimation …We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the offcial US deffinition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is 'involuntary'). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973491
We propose a monetary model in which the unemployed satisfy the official US definition of unemployment: they are people ….e., unemployment is ‘involuntary’). We integrate our model of involuntary unemployment into the simple New Keynesian framework with no … capital and use the resulting model to discuss the concept of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment’. We then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640338
behaviour of these expectations. We show that the introduction of survey and financial market-based forecasts in the estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241110
observable variables (real GDP, unemployment rate, labour force participation rate, hours worked per person, a measure of core in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429180
Foreign driven medium-term oscillations that originate from uctuations in technological frontier countries gained widespread attention among policymakers. To study this phenomenon in the context of domestic and other foreign drivers of the euro area business cycle, we develop a medium-scale,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499631
extensive labor-market margin and adds the unemployment rate to the observables. The main question we address is if these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011813503
chronology of the business cycle for the euro area and we find that hours worked, more than the unemployment rate, provides the … during the COVID-19 recession when the unemployment rate rose only moderately. Our findings suggest that labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013350551
The Global Financial Crisis established that policymakers should consider the stage of the financial cycle to better evaluate the cyclical position of the economy when designing monetary policy decisions. If financial variables are omitted from the estimations of the output gap, a common and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343145
The recent financial crisis has highlighted the limits of the "originate to distribute" model of banking, but its nexus with the macroeconomy and monetary policy remains unexplored. I build a DSGE model with banks (along the lines of Holmström and Tirole [28] and Parlour and Plantin [39]) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688526
knowledge about potential output. The estimation of the structural parameters and of the monetary authorities'objectives is key …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969281