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expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate … recent years, a low real risk-free rate, as well as low levels of compensation for both expected and unexpected in ation. The … on the embedded in ation risk premium of issuing nominal debt, appears to be eroded by the liquidity premium charged by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
We propose a consumption-based model that allows for an inverted term structure of real and nominal risk-free rates. In … our framework the agent is subject to time-varying macroeconomic risk and interest rates at all maturities depend on her … risk perception which shape saving propensities over time. In bad times, when risk is perceived to be higher in the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011816113
structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832616
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
, the announcement produced substantial spillover effects on risk premia. Credit risk premia declined, both in the corporate … ineligible bonds. Firms took advantage of reduced risk premia by issuing riskier bond types. Using a novel and comprehensive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422429
into components of expected future earnings and equity risk premia. Then, we evaluate how these react to general and sector … sector are mainly driven by changes in equity risk premia, while changes in earnings expectations play a comparatively larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316963
basis. Finally, when global financial risk is on the rise, US mutual fund managers repatriate their investments towards US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014527087
Households face earnings risk which is non-normal and varies by age and over the income distribution. We show that … assets. Because households are subject to more background risk than previously considered, the estimated model implies a … substantially lower coefficient of risk aversion. We also find renewed support for rule-of-thumb investment strategies under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278693
We examine the existence of physical and transition climate risk premia in euro area equity markets. To do so, we … develop two novel physical and transition risk indicators, based on text analysis, which are then used to gauge the presence … of climate risk premia. Results suggest that climate risk premia for both, transition and physical climate risk, have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013271146
confidence and cyclical indicators remain important. -- Break-even inflation rates ; inflation risk premia ; business cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826599