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model. Second, we study whether both returns and volatility of bank stock prices changes upon the disclosure of stress tests … in returns and an increase in volatility, while the reverse holds true for banks performing well. Banks performing … correlation between bank abnormal returns or equity volatility and stress test performance, which experiences a steady increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342212
We combine the dynamic dividend-discount model with an accounting-based vector autoregression framework that allows for a decomposition of EU banks.stock returns to cash-flow and expected return news components. The main findings are that while the bulk of the variability of EU banks.stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003375090
spot prices, although only in the short run. Moreover, financial activity appears to have exacerbated the volatility in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009160021
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and thereby excess volatility, persistence of price-dividend ratios, long-horizon return predictability and a risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747965
We propose a new approach to measuring the effect of unobservable private information or beliefs on volatility. Using … high-frequency intraday data, we estimate the volatility effect of a well identified shock on the volatility of the stock … that, as the publicly available information becomes stale, volatility effects and its persistence should increase, as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003396704
speculative trading increases. As a result, market liquidity deteriorates and short-term volatility rises. Our findings hold for a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012016546
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with timevarying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426