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In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three distinct monetary/fiscal regimes in France and Italy: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
countries. We estimate the MPC based on a cross-country harmonized household level dataset which combines surveys on wealth …, income and consumption. We use panel regressions and an instrumental variable approach. First, our panel-based MPC estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139739
panel setting. We find that fiscal expansions are associated with an increase in household saving rate in the euro area …We study the relationship between fiscal policy and household saving across the euro area countries for the period 1999 … and estimation uncertainty and no robust evidence for total private saving offset. Our results for the euro area are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745340
Recent fiscal policies have aimed to stimulate household spending. In 2008, most households received one-time economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008902400
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy using a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression approach. We build on a recursive identification scheme, but we: (i) include the feedback from government debt (ii); look at the impact on the composition of output; (iii) assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826480
This paper estimates a fiscal reaction function (FRF) framework for euro area countries to test for the impact of changes in inflation on fiscal policy. We find evidence of non-linear short-term effects of HICP inflation on the primary balance after controlling for other relevant factors. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483665
What are the macroeconomic consequences of a government that is limited in its willingness or ability to raise primary surpluses, and a central bank that accommodates its interest-rate policy to the fiscal conditions? I address this question in a dynamic stochastic sticky-price model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484339
This paper introduces the Consumer Expectations Survey (CES), a new online, high frequency panel survey of euro area … cars. Moreover, we show that such beliefs also influence household expectations about own income prospects, future access … Ricardian effects in household behaviour. We find that perceptions affect spending also among households that did not receive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818792
Prospective economic developments depend on the behavior of consumer spending. A key question is whether private expenditures recover once social distancing restrictions are lifted or whether the COVID-19 crisis has a sustained impact on consumer confidence, preferences, and, hence, spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643267
advanced economies during the past 20 years. This is done by estimating fiscal reaction functions using dynamic panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135940