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In most euro area countries, the monetary/fiscal policy mix is responsible for the changing history of debt and inflation facts. Using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with Markov-switching policy rules, we identify three distinct monetary/fiscal regimes in France and Italy: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014482924
panel setting. We find that fiscal expansions are associated with an increase in household saving rate in the euro area …We study the relationship between fiscal policy and household saving across the euro area countries for the period 1999 … and estimation uncertainty and no robust evidence for total private saving offset. Our results for the euro area are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012745340
advanced economies during the past 20 years. This is done by estimating fiscal reaction functions using dynamic panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012135940
Recent fiscal policies have aimed to stimulate household spending. In 2008, most households received one-time economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008902400
This paper uses two established DSGE models (QUEST III and Smets-Wouters) to assess the impact of fiscal spending cuts on output and, in particular, also on inflation in the euro area under alternative settings for monetary policy. We compare four different settings of constrained monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637428
Due to input-output linkages, an industry level shock can widely transmit to the rest of the economy. We identify government policies on the automobile industry, which change final prices and estimate their effect on sales and production. An example could be the scrappage schemes that many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710106
We investigate the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy using a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression approach. We build on a recursive identification scheme, but we: (i) include the feedback from government debt (ii); look at the impact on the composition of output; (iii) assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826480
This paper introduces the Consumer Expectations Survey (CES), a new online, high frequency panel survey of euro area … cars. Moreover, we show that such beliefs also influence household expectations about own income prospects, future access … Ricardian effects in household behaviour. We find that perceptions affect spending also among households that did not receive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818792
Prospective economic developments depend on the behavior of consumer spending. A key question is whether private expenditures recover once social distancing restrictions are lifted or whether the COVID-19 crisis has a sustained impact on consumer confidence, preferences, and, hence, spending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012643267
We use a new approach to assess long-term fiscal developments. By analyzing the time varying behaviour of the two components of government spending and revenue responsiveness and persistence - we are able to infer about the sources of fiscal behaviour. Drawing on quarterly data we estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003832368